Will this Sustain?

05.23.08 | 10 Comments | Filed Under Commentary, Indian Politics, War on Communism

The figures first.

The figures show how CPM and co have performed in the recent Zilla Panchayat elections. The same thing said in boring words.

The verdict was clear: although the Left has kept its control over a majority of the seats at all levels, it has received its worst setback ever. The Left Front won 1,633 of the 3,220 Gram Panchayats in the state, down from its 2003 tally of 2303.

The Opposition won 1,463 GPs , with the Trinamool bagging the major share, almost three-quarters. In the 2003 Panchayat elections, the Opposition had got barely 917 GPs.

Of the 329 Panchayat samitis (the middle tier), the Left Front had won 284 and the Opposition 45 in 2003. This year, however, the Left’s tally shrunk to 189 while the Opposition surged to 140.

The Left parties’ trouncing was expected but with West Bengal nothing is sure. Nandigram is the most definitive cause but lest the columnists start laying the Left to rest, mandatory words of caution need to be uttered.

The Left is anchored too deeply to expect an overnight uprooting from its strongest fort. Courtesy this clobbering, they will revise their secret Black Book of Winning Elections the Democratic Way authored by Josef Stalin to look for stronger ways of staying there.

There’s no formula to detect the voting psyche of the Indian voter. But in this case, anti-incumbency or anti-Left sentiment is near-certainly ruled out. Nandigram is the overwhelming answer. The CPM should’ve realized that India is not China and Nandigram is not Tiananmen Square when it went on a bloodletting rampage butchering thousands of innocent citizens.

The top CPM mafia bosses have been quick to embark on the mandatory introspection.

…CPM veteran Biman Bose: “We have to discuss why this grievance accumulated to such an extent…Our arrogance, ego and deviations —- we must study if these were factors…We will review whether the functioning of our Panchayats is to blame for the results. There may have been some deviations.”

“People have not liked our style of functioning and we will have to take a lesson, but that does not mean they have voted against industrialisation,”

Clamorous nonsense. Elsewhere I recall reading the secret of the Left’s success in West Bengal: proportionate access to state-looted wealth to party members percolating down the ladder. It logically follows that industrialization is just another opportunity.

CPM’s present debacle might just be a short term outcome of people waiting to vent their anger against the state’s willing use of brute force. The true test of the Left’s fate is in the imminent Lok Sabha poll stadium. For now, we can only hope that the resultant figures of that poll match this one.

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